California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Xavier Becerra a 51% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Xavier Becerra won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Xavier Becerra — 51% model odds (won)
  2. Kenneth Mejia — 34% model odds
  3. Adrienne Nicole Edwards — 16% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts