California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Reed a 33% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Mark Reed won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mark Reed — 33% model odds (won)
2. Navraj Singh — 33% model odds (won)
3. Christopher David Townsend — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts