California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Brad Sherman a 55% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Brad Sherman won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Brad Sherman — 55% model odds (won)
  2. Luke Davis — 21% model odds
  3. Patrea Patrick — 12% model odds (won)
  4. A. Rab — 12% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts