California House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Tony Cardenas a 59% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Tony Cardenas won, matching the model's top pick.
- Tony Cardenas — 59% model odds (won)
- Richard Alarcon — 23% model odds (won)
- Joseph "Joe" Shammas — 8% model odds
- Benny "Benito" Bernal — 5% model odds
- David Z. Guzman — 5% model odds