California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Justin Donald Fareed a 36% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Justin Donald Fareed won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Justin Donald Fareed — 36% model odds (won)
  2. K.H. Katcho Achadjian — 35% model odds (won)
  3. Matt T. Kokkonen — 29% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts