California House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Salud Carbajal a 43% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Salud Carbajal won, matching the model's top pick.
- Salud Carbajal — 43% model odds (won)
- Helene Schneider — 36% model odds (won)
- William "Bill" Ostrander — 12% model odds
- Benjamin Lucas — 9% model odds