California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kevin Mccarthy a 44% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Kevin Mccarthy won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kevin Mccarthy — 44% model odds (won)
  2. Ken Mettler — 29% model odds (won)
  3. Gerald Morris — 27% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts