California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Joe Williams a 33% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Joe Williams won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Joe Williams — 33% model odds (won)
  2. Barbara Honegger — 33% model odds (won)
  3. Jack Digby — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts