California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Anna G. Eshoo a 50% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Anna G. Eshoo won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Anna G. Eshoo — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Bob Harlow — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts