California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Honda a 41% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Mike Honda won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mike Honda — 41% model odds (won)
2. Ro Khanna — 41% model odds (won)
3. Pierluigi C. Oliverio — 18% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts