California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Johnny M. Tacherra a 39% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Johnny M. Tacherra won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Johnny M. Tacherra — 39% model odds (won)
2. David Rogers — 37% model odds (won)
3. Richard Gomez — 24% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts