California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Michael Eggman a 50% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Michael Eggman won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Michael Eggman — 50% model odds (won)
2. Michael J. "Mike" Barkley — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts