California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Antonio C. "Tony" Amador a 50% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Antonio C. "Tony" Amador won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Antonio C. "Tony" Amador — 50% model odds (won)
  2. Kathryn Nance — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts