California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Rita Ramirez a 33% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Rita Ramirez won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Rita Ramirez — 33% model odds (won)
2. John Pinkerton — 33% model odds (won)
3. Roger Laplante — 33% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts