California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert W. Derlet a 50% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Robert W. Derlet won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Robert W. Derlet — 50% model odds (won)
2. Sean White — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts