California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave N. Eugene Cleek a 50% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. N. Eugene Cleek won, matching the model's top pick.

1. N. Eugene Cleek — 50% model odds (won)
2. Ryan Detert — 50% model odds (won)

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts