California House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jared W. Huffman a 44% chance of winning the California House 2016 primary. Jared W. Huffman won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Jared W. Huffman — 44% model odds (won)
2. Erin A. Schrode — 33% model odds (won)
3. Andrew Augustine Caffrey — 22% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts