Arizona House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David Schweikert an 86% chance of winning the Arizona House 2016 primary. David Schweikert won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. David Schweikert — 86% model odds (won)
  2. Russ Wittenberg — 14% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts