Arizona House 2016 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Gary Kiehne a 43% chance of winning the Arizona House 2016 primary. Paul Babeu won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Gary Kiehne — 43% model odds
- Paul Babeu — 34% model odds (won)
- Ray Parrish — 6% model odds
- Wendy Rogers — 5% model odds
- Ken Bennett — 4% model odds
- David Gowan — 4% model odds
- Shawn Redd — 4% model odds