Alabama Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Richard C. Shelby an 88% chance of winning the Alabama Senate 2016 primary. Richard C. Shelby won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Richard C. Shelby — 88% model odds (won)
2. Jonathan Mcconnell — 3% model odds
3. Shadrack Mcgill — 3% model odds
4. John Martin — 3% model odds
5. Marcus Bowman — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts