Alabama Senate 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ron Crumpton an 85% chance of winning the Alabama Senate 2016 primary. Ron Crumpton won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Ron Crumpton — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Charles Nana — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts