Alabama House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Robert Aderholt a 97% chance of winning the Alabama House 2016 primary. Robert Aderholt won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Robert Aderholt — 97% model odds (won)
  2. Phil Norris — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts