Alabama House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Martha Roby a 93% chance of winning the Alabama House 2016 primary. Martha Roby won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Martha Roby — 93% model odds (won)
2. Becky Gerritson — 4% model odds
3. Robert L. "Bob" Rogers — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts