Alaska House 2016 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Don Young a 55% chance of winning the Alaska House 2016 primary. Don Young won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Don Young — 55% model odds (won)
2. Stephen T. "Todd" Wright — 15% model odds
3. Gerald L. Heikes — 15% model odds
4. Jesse J. "Messy" Tingley — 15% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts