Wyoming Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Charlie Hardy an 81% chance of winning the Wyoming Senate 2014 primary. Charlie Hardy won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Charlie Hardy — 81% model odds (won)
2. Rex Wilde — 5% model odds
3. Al Hamburg — 5% model odds
4. William Bryk — 5% model odds
5. Scattered — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts