West Virginia Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Shelly Moore Capito a 91% chance of winning the West Virginia Senate 2014 primary. Shelly Moore Capito won, matching the model's top pick.
- Shelly Moore Capito — 91% model odds (won)
- Larry Eugene Butcher — 6% model odds
- Matthew Dodrill — 3% model odds