Vermont House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mark Donka a 74% chance of winning the Vermont House 2014 primary. Mark Donka won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mark Donka — 74% model odds (won)
2. Donald Russell — 7% model odds
3. Scattered — 7% model odds
4. Scattered — 7% model odds
5. Donald W. Nolte — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts