VI House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Stacey Plaskett a 66% chance of winning the VI House 2014 primary. Stacey Plaskett won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Stacey Plaskett — 66% model odds (won)
  2. Stephen Colbert — 4% model odds
  3. Vince Danet — 4% model odds
  4. Kermit The Frog — 4% model odds
  5. Mary Kilpatrick — 4% model odds
  6. Michael Sheesley — 4% model odds
  7. Edward Thomas — 4% model odds
  8. Shawn-Michael Malone — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts