Virginia House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Donald S., Jr. Beyer a 74% chance of winning the Virginia House 2014 primary. Donald S., Jr. Beyer won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Donald S., Jr. Beyer — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Mark H. Levine — 3% model odds
  3. Lavern J. Chatman — 3% model odds
  4. William D. "Bill" Euille — 3% model odds
  5. Bruce B. Shuttleworth — 3% model odds
  6. Patrick A. Hope — 3% model odds
  7. Adam P. Ebbin — 3% model odds
  8. Derek S. Hyra — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts