Virginia House 2014 — Model Retrospective
The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dave A. Brat a 62% chance of winning the Virginia House 2014 primary. Dave A. Brat won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.
- Dave A. Brat — 62% model odds
- Dave A. Brat — 19% model odds (won)
- Eric I. Cantor — 19% model odds