Texas Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Cornyn a 74% chance of winning the Texas Senate 2014 primary. John Cornyn won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Cornyn — 74% model odds (won)
  2. Ken Cope — 4% model odds
  3. Chris Mapp — 4% model odds
  4. Reid Reasor — 4% model odds
  5. Curt Cleaver — 4% model odds
  6. Emily "Spicybrown" Sanchez — 4% model odds
  7. Steve Stockman — 2% model odds
  8. Dwayne Stovall — 2% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts