Texas House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Susan Narvaiz an 84% chance of winning the Texas House 2014 primary. Susan Narvaiz won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Susan Narvaiz — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Kat Swift — 16% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts