Texas House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Eddie Bernice Johnson a 96% chance of winning the Texas House 2014 primary. Eddie Bernice Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Eddie Bernice Johnson — 96% model odds (won)
2. Barbara Mallory Caraway — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts