Texas House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Will Hurd a 91% chance of winning the Texas House 2014 primary. Will Hurd won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Will Hurd — 91% model odds (won)
  2. Francisco "Quico" Canseco — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts