Texas House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lamar Smith an 83% chance of winning the Texas House 2014 primary. Lamar Smith won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Lamar Smith — 83% model odds (won)
2. Matt Mccall — 6% model odds
3. Michael J. Smith — 6% model odds
4. Antonio Diaz — 6% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts