Texas House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mac Thornberry an 85% chance of winning the Texas House 2014 primary. Mac Thornberry won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mac Thornberry — 85% model odds (won)
  2. Pam Barlow — 6% model odds
  3. Don Cook — 6% model odds
  4. Elaine Hays — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts