Texas House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John Ratcliffe a 51% chance of winning the Texas House 2014 primary. John Ratcliffe won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John Ratcliffe — 51% model odds (won)
  2. Ralph M. Hall — 49% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts