Texas House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Sam Johnson an 82% chance of winning the Texas House 2014 primary. Sam Johnson won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Sam Johnson — 82% model odds (won)
2. Harry Pierce — 5% model odds
3. Cami Dean — 5% model odds
4. Josh Loveless — 5% model odds
5. Paul Blair — 5% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts