Tennessee Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Lamar Alexander a 79% chance of winning the Tennessee Senate 2014 primary. Lamar Alexander won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Lamar Alexander — 79% model odds (won)
  2. Erin Kent Magee — 4% model odds
  3. Martin Pleasant — 4% model odds
  4. George Shea Flinn — 3% model odds
  5. Joe Carr — 3% model odds
  6. Christian Agnew — 3% model odds
  7. Brenda S. Lenard — 3% model odds
  8. John D. King — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts