Tennessee House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Dana Matheny a 73% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2014 primary. Stephen Lee Fincher won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Dana Matheny — 73% model odds
2. Stephen Lee Fincher — 9% model odds (won)
3. Nicholas Pegues — 9% model odds
4. John Mills — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts