Tennessee House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Bob Ries an 80% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2014 primary. Bob Ries won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Bob Ries — 80% model odds (won)
2. Chris Carter — 8% model odds
3. Ronnie Holden — 8% model odds
4. John "Big John" Smith — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts