Tennessee House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Jim Tracy a 68% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2014 primary. Scott Desjarlais won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

  1. Jim Tracy — 68% model odds
  2. Steve Lane — 8% model odds
  3. Scott Desjarlais — 8% model odds (won)
  4. John Anderson — 4% model odds
  5. David R. Tate — 4% model odds
  6. Michael S. Warden — 4% model odds
  7. Oluyomi "Fapas," Sr. Faparusi — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts