Tennessee House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave John J., Jr. Duncan an 81% chance of winning the Tennessee House 2014 primary. John J., Jr. Duncan won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. John J., Jr. Duncan — 81% model odds (won)
  2. Norris Dryer — 10% model odds
  3. Jason Zachary — 8% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts