South Dakota Senate 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mike Rounds an 88% chance of winning the South Dakota Senate 2014 primary. Mike Rounds won, matching the model's top pick.

1. Mike Rounds — 88% model odds (won)
2. Annette Bosworth — 4% model odds
3. Stace Nelson — 3% model odds
4. Jason Ravnsborg — 3% model odds
5. Larry Rhoden — 3% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts