Pennsylvania House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave David J. Moylan a 77% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2014 primary. David J. Moylan won, matching the model's top pick.

1. David J. Moylan — 77% model odds (won)
2. Matthew Dietz — 11% model odds
3. Scattered — 8% model odds
4. Matthew D. Connolly — 4% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts