Pennsylvania House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Kevin Strouse an 84% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2014 primary. Kevin Strouse won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Kevin Strouse — 84% model odds (won)
  2. Shaughnessy Naughton — 9% model odds
  3. Scattered — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts