Pennsylvania House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Mary Ellen Balchunis a 65% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2014 primary. Mary Ellen Balchunis won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Mary Ellen Balchunis — 65% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 35% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts