Pennsylvania House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Megan Rath an 80% chance of winning the Pennsylvania House 2014 primary. Megan Rath won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Megan Rath — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Scattered — 20% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts