Oregon House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Ben Pollock a 54% chance of winning the Oregon House 2014 primary. Tootie Smith won — an upset relative to the model's favorite.

1. Ben Pollock — 54% model odds
2. Tootie Smith — 37% model odds (won)
3. Scattered — 9% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts