Oregon House 2014 — Model Retrospective

The model's final pre-election forecast gave Aelea Christofferson an 80% chance of winning the Oregon House 2014 primary. Aelea Christofferson won, matching the model's top pick.

  1. Aelea Christofferson — 80% model odds (won)
  2. Barney Spera — 7% model odds
  3. C. F. Vulliet — 7% model odds
  4. Scattered — 7% model odds

Model accuracy · 2026 race forecasts